Dr. Danilo Spinola is a Senior Lecturer in Economics at BCU. His research is focused on (1) Innovation processes in complex systems; (2) Structural change, economic dynamics and economic resilience, and (3) Economic Growth and income/wealth distribution. Dr. Spinola holds a PhD on Economics of Innovation from the United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (UNU-MERIT), where he has also been a postdoctoral fellow, and a MRes in Economics from the University of Campinas (UNICAMP). He published a number of peer-reviewed articles on relevant journals such as Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Review of Keynesian Economics, and Metroeconomica (see more below), and is currently part of the editorial board of the Journal of Evolutionary Economics.
Dr. Spinola has a long experience working as an external consultant for international organizations, such as the United Nations’ Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), the Interamerican Development Bank (IDB) and the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET).
His academic works is centered on the challenges of economic development, especially focused on developing regions. (Innovation, Structural Change and Economic Complexity). His research mixes economic empirical analysis (time series econometrics, panel data analysis) and economic theory, developing theoretical models in the Keynesian and Evolutionary traditions.
Danilo is currently a module leader for the following modules: Economics for Sustainable Development, Political Economy and Labour Economics. He is also a Fellow of the Higher Education Academy (FHEA).
Dr. Spinola is interested in supervising PhD students with similar related research areas. He is located in the Curzon Building, room C213.
- Economics of Innovation
- Structural Change and Technology Catching-up
- Structuralism
- Macroeconomics
- Pluralism in Economics
- Complexity Economics
- PhD of Economics - Maastricht University/United Nations University (UNU-Merit)
- MA of Economics - University of Campinas
- BA of Economics - University of Campinas
- BA of Social Sciences - University of Campinas
Currently Spinola is a Senior Research Associate at the University of Johannesburg and an affiliated Researcher at Maastricht University and UNU-Merit. He is also the vice-president of the Latin American Network for the study of Learning Systems, Innovation and Skills Construction (LALICS) and the chairman of the advisory board of the Young Scholars Initiative (YSI) of INET, after being the coordinator of the YSI’s Complexity Economics Working Group for almost four years.
Dr Spinola is currently focused on three pillars:
- Innovation processes in complex systems.
- Structural change, economic dynamics and economic resilience.
- Economic Growth and income/wealth distribution.
Published
- Nomaler, Ö.; Spinola, D.; Verspagen, B. (2021).R&D-Based Economic Growth in a Supermultiplier Model. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 59, 1-19.
- Spinola, D. (2021). The La Marca Model Revisited: Structuralist Goodwin Cycles with Evolutionary Supply Side and Balance of Payments Constraints. Metroeconomica, 72 (1). 189-212.
- Spinola, D. (2020). Uneven development and the balance of payments constrained model: Terms of trade, economic cycles, and productivity catching-up. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 54, 220–232.
- Porcile, G. & Spinola, D. (2018). Natural, effective and BOP-constrained rates of growth: Adjustment mechanisms and closure equations. PSL Quarterly Review. Vol 71, No 285.
- Porcile, G. & Spinola, D. (2018). Growth models, Kaldorian regimes and the Thirlwall Law: some economic adjustments. Brazilian Keynesian Review. Vol. 4. No 1.
Working Papers
- Calzada, B. & Spinola, D. (2022). Complexity and Productive Structure in Latin America: A Network Analysis of Trade Patterns. Center for Applied Finance and Economics. Working paper n.16.
- Nomaler, Ö.; Spinola, D.; Verspagen, B. (2021).Demand-led Industrialisation Policy in a Dual-sector Small Balance of Payments Constrained Economy. SARChI Industrial Development Working Paper Series WP 2021-09., University of Johannesburg.
- Spinola, D.; Lamperti, F.; Mohnen, P.; Roventini, A.; Treibich, T. Private R&D collaboration, innovation and competition - an agent-based exploration. Growinpro Project. 2021.
- Porcile, G., Spinola, D., & Yajima, G.. Patterns of growth in structuralist models: The role of the real exchange rate and industrial policy. UNU-MERIT Working Paper 027/2020.
- Magacho, G.; Spinola, D. Supply and demand in Kaldorian growth models: a proposal for dynamic adjustment. UNU-MERIT Working Paper 032/2020.
- Ganguly, A.; Spinola, D.; Growth Regimes and Uneven Development in Open Economies: Demand and Distribution Regimes in the context of Global Value Chains. 25th FMM conference: macroeconomics of socio-ecological transition. 2021.
- Godin, A.; Magacho, G.; Spinola, D.; Yilmaz, D. Ecological Transition in Natural-Resource Exporter Countries: a Structural Stock and Flow Consistent Model. 25th FMM Conference: macroeconomics of socio-ecological transition. 2021.
- Spinola, D. Instability Constraints and Development Traps: An Empirical Analysis of Growth Cycles and Economic Volatility in Latin America. UNU-MERIT Working Paper 002/2018.
- Spinola, D. (2020) Debating the Thirlwall Model: VECM analysis of the Balance of Payments for Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico. UNU-MERIT Working Paper 001/2020.
- Foster-McGregor, N.; Spinola, D.; and Verspagen, B. (2017). Developments in Manufacturing Unit Values Across Countries. Industrial Development Report 2018. United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO). Vienna.
- Foster-McGregor, N.; Spinola, D.; and Verspagen, B. (2017) On the Development and Impact of Commodity Prices and Cycles. Industrial Development Report 2018. United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO). Vienna.
Books:
Book Chapters:
- Spinola, D. (2021). A Structuralist Interpretation to the Brazilian Crisis: The Behavior of Effective, Natural, and Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Rates. In: Prates, D. & Terra, F. Brazil Post-Recession. Ed. UFABC. Sao Paulo, Brazil.
- Spinola, D. (2017) Productive Structure in the Neo-Kaleckian Model of Growth and Distribution: Simulations to the Brazilian Economy. In: The New Brazilian Economy (pp. 273-288). Palgrave Macmillan, New York.
